Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 12.672012 14.846185 17.221447 20.001215 23.156911 26.619633 30.698100
2025-03-16 8.259521 11.003118 14.329813 18.622556 23.973127 30.377599 38.573801
2025-03-23 6.502995 9.587211 13.641607 19.272758 26.788534 36.360287 49.339251
2025-03-30 5.426398 8.715177 13.339219 20.157738 29.767830 42.614139 60.824094
2025-04-06 4.282583 7.468345 12.242567 19.685570 30.710790 46.103963 68.799098
2025-04-13 3.306980 6.252530 10.948160 18.666582 30.643865 48.049597 74.645761
2025-04-20 2.962121 5.977915 11.028245 19.681524 33.600589 54.455674 87.193768
2025-04-27 2.726035 5.838345 11.287025 20.974006 37.055539 61.799525 101.556494
2025-05-04 2.383819 5.434615 11.028246 21.357298 39.063211 67.044251 113.057635
2025-05-11 2.033004 4.942003 10.532041 21.254422 40.227640 71.007995 122.781216
2025-05-18 1.706534 4.429820 9.917484 20.850520 40.812217 74.036700 131.158864
2025-05-25 1.443888 3.998039 9.388157 20.525152 41.473076 77.189599 139.865439
2025-06-01 1.209796 3.596965 8.894581 20.277356 42.375036 81.020383 150.301720
2025-06-08 0.927428 3.008352 7.915293 18.960610 41.213290 81.294076 154.941602
2025-06-15 0.832457 2.877546 7.915435 19.636293 43.872635 88.430484 171.709385
2025-06-22 0.762886 2.798447 8.019496 20.538567 47.042587 96.675548 190.861047
2025-06-29 0.628231 2.490364 7.521902 20.059323 47.402829 99.802397 201.136932
2025-07-06 0.492410 2.131267 6.824459 19.023820 46.503769 100.489876 207.027989
2025-07-13 0.461896 2.111141 7.005023 20.055341 50.026312 109.782164 229.125855
2025-07-20 0.443484 2.128752 7.290377 21.368736 54.253742 120.669654 254.700871
2025-07-27 0.394937 2.020239 7.204897 21.758195 56.489356 127.779195 273.531236
2025-08-03 0.338188 1.859328 6.937779 21.653666 57.609405 132.728567 288.495752
2025-08-10 0.282158 1.678191 6.572765 21.243263 57.987518 136.185599 300.739045